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2026 Forecast Intelligence
U.S. Senate • U.S. House • Governors
Senate
House
Governor
Counties
States
435 Districts
All Contested States
Loading Forecast Control Odds...
LAST UPDATED SEPTEMBER 20, 2026 • 4:00PM
-- Democrats
--% chance
51 TO CONTROL
--% chance
-- Republicans
Holdover
Dem.
Win
Tilt (<1pt)
Flip
Rep.
Tilt (<1pt)
Win
Flip
Holdover
Ind.
Purple = Independent (NE, SD, ID, MT)
Projected Margin
Win Probability
Net Swing ('24 ➔ '26)
Scale:
All Units
Metros (>100k)
Mid-Sized
Rural
Demographic Filters:
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Majority-Minority
Hispanic Core
College Towns
3,142 Counties
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DEMOGRAPHICS
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ELECTION PROJECTION
TOSS-UP
CENSUS COMPOSITION REPORT
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SUBGROUP ESTIMATED MARGINS
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